The NHL
announced today that they will be resuming the 2019-20 season in the form of the
playoffs. It will be the 24-team format with the 16-team play-in round that was
discussed earlier.
One change
does see the top four teams in each conference playing a round-robin mini-tournament
to determine seeding in the second round. This part is different from the original
proposal and will help keep those teams with a bye in the first round in game
shape.
NHL
Commissioner Gary Bettman recorded a video outlining the whole system and
thanking the NHLPA and its head Don Fehr for helping them get to this point. He
also mentioned that the health and safety of all those involved were and “are
paramount” in this whole thing. He said that they are resuming because the fans
and players wanted it, although I suspect that the relaxing of some of the health
guidelines in various jurisdictions might have played a stronger part in that.
As for the
logistics, Tom Gulitti of NHL.com ran those down. The Qualifying and Seeding
Round Robin (the first round) “will be held at two hub cities to be identified –
one for the 12 participating Eastern Conference teams and one for the 12
Western Conference teams – and begin at a date to be determined.” Gulitti listed
the candidate cities as: Chicago, Columbus, Dallas, Edmonton, Las Vegas, Los
Angeles, Minneapolis/St. Paul, Pittsburgh, Toronto and Vancouver.
Gulitti
quoted the Bettman video when he said that “the decision on the hub cities and
when the Stanley Cup Playoffs will begin will depend on COVID-19 conditions,
testing ability and government regulations. A comprehensive system for testing
will be in place in each hub city. Each team will be permitted to travel a
maximum of 50 personnel, including players, coaches and staff, to its hub city.”
In this
situation, the Devils, Sabres, Ducks, Kings, Sharks and Senators each kind of
get the shaft here. They were never officially eliminated from playoff
contention, but were realistically not going to make it. Only the Red Wings,
eliminated back in February, were officially out.
Their season
now turns to the Draft. And since this is a Devils-centric blog, that is really
what we should be talking about anyway. The 2020 Draft Lottery Drawing will
include 15 teams according to Gulitti in a separate article on NHL.com.
They will be
the seven teams already on the outside (including the Devils) plus the eight teams
that lose in the Qualifying Round. The first phase will take place on June 26.
The lottery
will bet held “based on 3-6 drawings over one or two phases.” Phase one will
see the teams who did not qualify plus “eight placeholder positions” get three
drawings on June 26, which Gulitti points out, is before the Qualifying Round.
The odds for
the teams like the Devils who did not qualify for the playoffs “were determined
by their point percentage during the 2019-20 regular season” since not everyone
finished with the same total of games played.
The eight
placeholder spots will be held for the teams who will be eliminated in round
one of the playoff format.
Gulitti said
that the first drawing in phase one will tell us who gets the first pick in the
Draft. Drawing two will determine the second pick and drawing three will determine
who picks third overall.
He continued
to say that “if a team not in the bottom seven wins any of the first three
drawings, a Second Phase will be conducted among the eight teams eliminated in the
Qualifying Round. That would take place between the end of the Qualifying Round
and the first round of the playoffs.”
If each of
the first three First Phase picks are won by one of the teams on the outside of
the playoffs, Gulitti notes that the Second Phase would not be necessary and
the picks four through seven would be assigned to the remaining non-layoff
teams “in inverse order of their regular-season point percentage, and picks 8-15
will be assigned to the teams that are eliminated from the Qualifying Round in
inverse order of their point percentage.”
He also said
that if “a Qualifying Round losing team wins one or two of the top three picks,
any bottom-seven team not in the top three will be assigned their pick in
inverse order of point percentage.”
If a
Qualifying Round team wins all three of the top picks, picks four through ten
will go to teams “in inverse order of their point percentage.”
A Second
Phase and the number of drawings in it would depend on the number of picks won
in the First Phase by the Qualifying Round teams.
As Ottawa General
Manager Pierre Dorian said in April (as quoted in Tom Gulitti’s story): “We did
our homework, and in this plan of the rebuild [talking about the Senators] we
always felt that this 2020 draft would be one of the deepest that’s come along
in many years.”
The Devils currently
stand with a 7.5-percent chance to win the first overall pick. They finished
with a .493 regular season points percentage.
Gulitti did
note that “New Jersey received better lottery odds than Buffalo because it had
a worse regulation/overtime winning percentage (.348 compared to Buffalo’s
.406).”
The Detroit
Red Wings currently stand with the best odds to win the Alexis Lafreniere sweepstakes,
ending the season with a .275 points percentage, giving them an 18.5 chance of
gaining the first overall pick.
Of the teams
who qualified for the playoffs in the play-in round, Montreal has the best odds
in the drawing, should they lose in the first round of the playoffs. They finished
with a .500 points percentage.